New Historical Record-Nine Consecutive Monthly Gains for Pending Home Sales

This is a unique event in the history of the Pending Home Sales Index. This index for measuring the strength of U.S. home sales was first utilized in 2001. The National Association of Realtors in Washington, DC meticulously tracks this data to predict trends in the country’s real estate. For new blog readers, the Pending Home Sales Index is a future-oriented indicator based on home contracts signed, but not officially closed. Generally, these contracts officially close in 1-2 months after signing. The Index utilizes a large sample (approx. 20% of the nation) of existing home sales. Monthly comparisons often are not as accurate as comparing months of 2 different years or cumulative results year to year.  An index reading of 100 equals the average level of contract activity that occurred in 2001. This was the first year it was used and coincidentally was the first of 5 consecutive record years in existing home sales. The index reading for October 2009 was 114.1 or 3.7% above the September ’09 index of 110. This is 31.8% above October of 2008’s index at 86.6. This rise from October ’08 is the largest increase recorded and the current October level is closing in on an all time high.  March 2006 holds the record so far at an index level of 115.2 and current readings are as follows:Chart

Let us carefully look into this good news and analyze it in more detail. Lawrence Yun, the NAR chief economist gives us some perspective. Yun feels that real estate in 2008 under performed. Typical activity based on the population growth lagged the market. He feels that the current tax credit for new home buyers is helping qualified renters to purchase new homes.  However, Yun thinks home sales could drop in the future, as  the demand for new homes backs off due to the end of economic stimulus in real estate. Current market activity is helping high home inventories to decline. This favors price stabilization for real estate across the country.

If you are considering real estate in the Great Smoky Mountains Area, several factors are favorable.  First, the inventory for various properties from; homes to rental chalets, and cabins is up, giving buyers a great selection.  Another favorable condition is the low mortgage interest rates available for qualified buyers. Locking in a low rate could be a bonus, if inflation drives rates higher in the future. Real estate can be a hard asset that retains it’s value in times of inflation, protecting some of your life savings from getting inflated away.  As leaders in Smokies area real estate, the Jason White Team has years of professional expertise and in- depth knowledge of the region to find you the property, that fits your needs. Call or contact us online to  get started helping you today. Click here to view my featured listings. Click here to select all local listings.

                        Here are a couple of my listings  

 

 

Extra Large Private Lot w/Great View
This updated, immaculately maintained home is a must see! The spacious decking overlooks the beautiful mountain views as well as the extra large lot that is well manicured. The community pool and club house amenities are a bonus.
Type: Single Family Home
Location: Gatlinburg ,Tennessee
Price: $199,900
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Gatlinburg Home is Close to Town!!
This home has room for everyone! With the fantastic views and outdoor spa it is perfect for families and large groups.
Type: Single Family Home
Location: Gatlinburg ,Tennessee
Price: $379,900
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