What do rising mortgage rates mean for purchasing power?

What do rising mortgage rates mean for purchasing power? Read below to find out how much rates have increased,  an example how how the rate increase effects the lifetime cost of a mortgage, and and a comparison of previous yearly rates.

 

Mortgage rates jumped above 4% to their highest level since April 2019. Specifically, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 4.16% from 3.85% the previous week.

 

The National Association of Realtors signaled multiple times before that mortgage rates would rise in response to the Federal Reserve’s strategy of raising short-term interest rates.

 

Although the Federal Reserve doesn’t set up mortgage rates, a higher rate for banks typically makes borrowing more expensive, affecting the 10-year Treasury bond – an indicator for mortgage rates.

 

NAR expects mortgage rates to average around 4.3% at the end of the year.

 

What does this mean for purchasing power?

 

Forbes Advisor provides a clear example of how a 1% rate increase impacts the lifetime cost of a home mortgage loan.

 

Take a family shopping around for a $300,000 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage. If banks were offering them an interest rate of 3.5%, the total lifetime cost of the mortgage would be approximately $485,000, with nearly $185,000 of that accounting for interest charges. Monthly payments would clock in around $1,340.

 

Let’s say the Fed had raised interest rates by 1% before the family got a loan, and the interest rate offered by banks for a $300,000 home mortgage loan rose to 4.5%. Over the 30-year life of the loan, the family would pay a total of more than $547,000, with interest charges accounting for $247,000 of that amount. Their monthly mortgage payment would be approximately $1,520.

 

Even with the rising rates – today’s rates are still favorable

 

Rates around 4% are still fairly low compared to historical figures.

 

Annual averages over the past two decades from the Freddie Mac survey, which follows similar trends to the Bankrate survey used in this article, show that rates remain quite favorable compared to what they were in fairly recent memory.

 

Rates have risen sharply this year but they still are favorable when compared to levels seen in the fairly recent past.

 

Before the 2008 crash, “good” rates were still above 5%, and rates were well above 4% as recently as 2018 and 2019.

 

Sevier County Tennessee Real Estate Market: Predictions from the Pros

In 2021, home prices skyrocketed nearly 19%, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index. And pros say we’re in for another year of price growth — but as for how much, pros diverge

Some predict double digit growth.

  • Indeed, a report in January from Zillow noted that home values were expected to grow 16.4% between December 2021 and December 2022.
  • Goldman Sachs, in October, forecast that home prices would rise 16% through 2022.
  • Fannie Mae says home prices will climb 11.2% throughout this year, followed by a more modest increase in 2023.

 

 

Others have more modest predictions:

  • The National Association of Realtors, which surveyed more than 20 top economic and housing experts, predicts housing prices are expected to climb 5.7%  through the end of 2022.
  • Realtor.com predicts a 2.9% increase in 2022. “I believe home price appreciation will normalize in 2022 and home price growth will begin to more closely track inflation,” says Bill Dallas, president of Finance of America Mortgage.
  • As of February 2022, Redfin predicted home-price growth to slow at an annual rate of 7% by the end of 2022.

 

 

Holden Lewis, mortgage expert from NerdWallet, says, “One of the reasons home prices will continue to push upward in the short-term is because mortgage rates are falling temporarily.”

Click to read more predictions from Bill Dallas, president of Finance of America Mortgage, Jeff Ostrowski, analyst at Bankrate and Zillow economist Nicole Bachaud. 

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Search active listings in Sevier County Tennessee here.

February 2022 Sevier County Real Estate Market Report

Homes

  • Price per square foot saw another increase from $329.83 in December 2021 to $364.29 in January 2022, to $385.03 in February.
  • 26 less homes sold during February 2022 than in January 2022.
  • Average Price saw another sizeable increase – Homes sold for an average of  $753,664 compared to $669,725 in January.

 

Land

  • 34 pieces of land sold during February.
  • Average price saw another increase from $144,892 in January to $289,715 in February.

 

2022 Real Estate Trends

If you’re looking for some relief in the crowded and competitive housing market in 2022, these 2022 real estate trends may lend some hope.

 

“With more housing inventory to hit the market, the intense multiple offers will start to ease,” according to Lawrence Yun, the National Association of Realtor’s chief economist. “Home prices will continue to rise but at a slower pace.”

 

Take a look below at the trends Salem News says will affect buying and selling in 2022.

 

1. Mortgage Rates Will Continue Rising

Mortgages rates are predicted to rise to 3.6% by the end of 2022. What does this mean for home-buyers? Assuming rates rise from 3% to 3.6%, a $300,000 loan will cost buyers an extra $100 per month.

 

2. Buyer Demand, Competition Will Decline

Redfin’s chief economist, Daryl Fairweather, sees a shift toward a less frothy market. “2022 will bring more balance to the housing market,” she says. “But don’t expect a buyer’s market; just more selection, less frenzy, and slower price growth.”

 

3. Home Value Appreciation Will Slow

A NAR survey of more than 20 economic and housing experts predicted that annual median home prices would increase by 5.7%, far less than the previous year. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun, “Slowing price growth will partly be the consequence of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve.”

 

4. New Home Construction Will Increase

Mike Fratantoni, the chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, sees the supply shortage starting to ease in 2022, leading to additional inventory hitting the market. “Home-builders will have more success overcoming current building material shortages and should be able to increase the pace of construction to meet the sizable demand for buying,” he said.

This will be an interesting 2022 real estate trend to keep a beat on. According to Random Lengths, lumber prices are now about 22% lower than peak but still about three times their average pre-pandemic price.



5. Investors Will Continue Buying

Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com, notes homeowners preparing to sell are in a good position going into 2022. Home values are predicted to continue their upward march, albeit at a slower pace.

 

Click here to read the entire Salem News article.

Lumber prices soar!

Up 218% in the past five months to $1,238 per thousand board feet!

Material shortages and lack of skilled labor have caused headaches for remodelers and homebuyers across the country, causing delays in remodeling projects.

Despite these challenges, NAHB reported that remodelers’ sentiment continued to improve, with the NAHB/Royal Building Products Remodeling Market Index (RMI) staying well above the benchmark point of 50.

“Every sub, vendor, and supplier is as busy as they’ve ever been,” Matthew Emmons, president of Emmons Construction in Jenks, said. “I think the concern moving forward is timing for completion and keeping quality at a premium during all the chaos of supply chain issues and labor shortages.”

Click here to read more.

January 2022 Sevier County Real Estate Market Report

Homes

  • We saw a slight decrease in Average days on Market, from 112 days to 101 days.
  • Price per square foot saw an increase from $329.83 in December 2021 to $364.29 in January 2022.
  • 73 less homes sold during January than in December 2021.
  • Average Price saw another increase – Homes sold for an average of $669,725 in January compared to $643,420.

 

 

Land

  • 79 pieces of land sold during January.
  • Average price saw another increase from $116,425 during the month of December, to $144,892 in January
  • Days on market saw a slight increase from 133 days in December to 171 days in January.

2021 Real Estate Market Statistics – Gatlinburg, Pigeon Forge, Sevierville

2021 Real Estate Market Statistics – Gatlinburg, Pigeon Forge, Sevierville

Below you will find statistics for Gatlinburg, Pigeon Forge, and Sevierville separated by bedroom!

 

2021 Real Estate Market Statistics – Gatlinburg

One Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $311,558 and ended the year at an average price of $408,171.00. For a total increase of $96,613.

We began the year at $317.80 a square foot and ended the year at $452.17 a square foot. For a total increase of $134.37 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 46 days on market and ended the year at 70 days on market. For a total increase of 24 days.


Two Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $405,956.00 and ended the year at an average price of $491,147. For a total increase of $85,191.

 

We began the year at $278.43 a square foot and ended the year at $351.29 a square foot. For a total increase of $72.86 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 31 days on market and ended the year at 31 days on market. For a total increase of 53 days.


Three Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $516,184 and ended the year at an average price of $679,552. For a total increase of $163,368.

 

We began the year at $260 a square foot and ended the year at $310 a square foot. For a total increase of $51 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 80 days on market and ended the year at 103 days on market. For a total increase of 23 days.


Four Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $849,567 and ended the year at an average price of $762,303. For a total increase of $87,264.

 

We began the year at $284 a square foot and ended the year at $289 a square foot. For a total increase of $5 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 74 days on market and ended the year at 154 days on market. For a total increase of 80 days.

 


Five+ Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of  $932,164 and ended the year at an average price of $1,339,262. For a total increase of $407,098.

 

We began the year at $237 a square foot and ended the year at $334 a square foot. For a total increase of $97 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 41 days on market and ended the year at 113 days on market. For a total increase of 72 days.

 

2021 Real Estate Market Statistics – Pigeon Forge

One Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $350,973 and ended the year at an average price of $439,286. For a total increase of $88,313.

We began the year at $346 a square foot and ended the year at $431 a square foot. For a total increase of $84 per square foot.

We began the year at 42days on market and ended the year at 64 days on market. For a total increase of 22 days.


Two Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $393,243 and ended the year at an average price of $527,686 For a total increase of $134,443.

We began the year at $278 a square foot and ended the year at $346 a square foot. For a total increase of $68 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 46 days on market and ended the year at 86 days on market. For a total increase of 40 days.


Three Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $510,142 and ended the year at an average price of $734,256. For a total increase of $224,114.

We began the year at $239 a square foot and ended the year at $313 a square foot. For a total increase of $74 per square foot.

We began the year at 90 days on market and ended the year at 104 days on market. For a total increase of 14 days.


Four Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $677,152 and ended the year at an average price of $935,960. For a total increase of $258,808.

We began the year at $244 a square foot and ended the year at $331 a square foot. For a total increase of $87 per square foot.

We began the year at 89 days on market and ended the year at 198 days on market. For a total increase of 109 days.


Five+ Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $770,025 and ended the year at an average price of $1,303,848. For a total increase of $533,823.

We began the year at $211 a square foot and ended the year at $321 a square foot. For a total increase of $110 per square foot.

We began the year at 129 days on market and ended the year at 139 days on market. For a total increase of 10 days.


2021 Real Estate Market Statistics – Sevierville

One Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $303,200 and ended the year at an average price of $375,837. For a total increase of $72,637.

 

We began the year at $293 a square foot and ended the year at $400 a square foot. For a total increase of $108per square foot.

 

We began the year at 27 days on market and ended the year at 82 days on market. For a total increase of 55 days.


Two Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $380,764 and ended the year at an average price of $468,094. For a total increase of $87,330.

 

We began the year at $249.84 a square foot and ended the year at $329.54 a square foot. For a total increase of $80 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 69 days on market and ended the year at 81 days on market. For a total increase of 12 days.

 


Three Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $376,368 and ended the year at an average price of $471,751. For a total increase of $95,383.

 

We began the year at $173 a square foot and ended the year at $223 a square foot. For a total increase of $50 per square foot.

We began the year at 81 days on market and ended the year at 87 days on market. For a total increase of 6 days.


Four Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $581,324 and ended the year at an average price of$663,543. For a total increase of $82,219.

We began the year at $198 a square foot and ended the year at $236 a square foot. For a total increase of $38 per square foot.

We began the year at 134 days on market and ended the year at 90 days on market. For a total decrease of 44 days.


Five+ Bedroom

We began the year with an average sales price of $1,092,500 and ended the year at an average price of $1,410,662. For a total increase of $318,162.

We began the year at $229 a square foot and ended the year at $305 a square foot. For a total increase of $76 per square foot.

 

We began the year at 112 days on market and ended the year at 151 days on market. We saw a dip during the second and third quarters, but ended the year with an increase of 39 days.

2021 Real Estate Market Statistics

Average list to Sale Price

We began the year with an average sales price of $465,516 and ended the year at an average price of $648,794. 

For a total increase of $183,278. 

 

 

Price per Square Foot 

We began the year at $227.78 a square foot and ended the year at $328.44 a square foot. 

For a total increase of $100 per square foot. 

We saw a consistent increase each month, except for the dip in October. 

 

 

Average Days on Market 

We began the year at 83 days on market and ended the year at 112 days on market. 

For a total increase of 29 days. 

We saw days on market dip under 80 days February through May, then we saw an uptick to 90+ days from September through November. Homes spend a considerable longer time on the market in December.

Great Smoky Mountains National Park – Most Visits Ever! 

The previous record was set in 2019 at $12,547,743.

Preliminary data for visits in 2021 sits at $14,141,272 visits!  Data will be confirmed at the end of the 1st quarter.
This is an increase of 16%, up $2,045,552, compared to $12,095,720 in 2020!

Records show Gatlinburg/Sugarlands, Oconaluftee, Townsend, and Look Rock were the most visited areas!

If you dig numbers – check out this chart which shows monthly visits to the park dating back to 1979!

December 2021 Sevier County Market Report

Homes

  • We saw an increase in Average days on Market, up from 91 days to 112 days.
  • Price per square foot saw a small increase from $320.44 in November 2021 to $329.83 in December 2021.
  • 27 more homes sold in December than in November.
  • Average Price rebounded with a punch – Homes sold for an average of $643,420 this month, up from $578,046 in November and $608,798 in October.

 

Land

  • 90 pieces of land sold during December
  • Average price saw another slight increase from $100,247 to $116,425 during the month of December.
  • Days on market saw a large reduction from 203 days in November to 133 days in December.